SP base is shrinking in its bastion

A Ground zero report illuminates on prospect of NAMO in Uttar Pradesh

Mulayam Singh Yadav

Samajwadi Party and its supremo Mulayam Singh Yadav's (MSY) base is depleting in Uttar Pradesh. At least my talks with many people in Allahabad, Lucknow and Kanpur conclude this result.

To understand cast and religious equations of state it is better to fathom the ground equation properly. MSY or say his party (SP) has a strong hold on Yadavs and Muslims. SP always gets a major portion of votes of these two segments of state's society. Whenever party gets major vote shares of Kurmi, Koiri, Kushwaha, Rajbhar, and Patels along with Yadavs and Muslims in election it gets hold on assembly in Lucknow and good seats in Loksaabha. Because of supports of these casts and religious segment MSY had made his position strong in Loksabha and got ruling positions in Lucknow in the last assembly election held in state. But this time this story is not going to repeat in favour of SP especially in coming Loksabha election.

To my surprise even Yadav’s vote has got divided in states. Young generations of yadav clan are not happy in the way they get preferences and treatments over Muslim communities from Akhilesh government this time. All freebies distributed by present state government have been diverted towards Muslims. In the run up of coming Loksabha election it is a very natural process. Every party is using all gimmicks to woo Muslims. SP is not doing it alone. But this partiality is hurting to younger generation of Yadava cast who whole heartedly worked in the last assembly election to make sure Akhilesh government in Lucknow by dethroning garden and museum queen Mayawati’s BSP. Surprisingly this Yadava’s lot is considering voting Modi this time in Loksabha election to teach a hard lesson to SP government.

Narendra Modi

Yes it is true, older generation is still favouring to MSY. It is not because they still have faith left in MSY hegemony but because of no other options in hand. Like their younger generation they also want to elect Modi. But because of accessibility to first family of SP they want to remain faithful to SP in coming Loksabha election. Accessibility to Modi and top hierarchy of BJP would be not as easier as they have in present SP government feel older generation of Yadava.

To make heftier dent in prospects of SP and MSY in coming election some more cast have decided to use their votes in favour of Modi this time. Kurmi, Koiry, Kushwaha, Rajbhar, and Patels are among those backward casts who had swear last time to Akhilesh to remain faithful to SP. Many of whom I met candidly accepted to give chance to Modi this time belongs to these casts.

Traditional upper cast voters who had drifted towards SP and BSP in the past have shown inclination towards Modi this time. This section of society has once again reposed faith in BJP after a long gap. A large section of Brahmins, Rajputs and Kayastha communities are vociferously chanting Namo mantra. They all are saying give at least one chance to Modi to see his claims in reality on ground.

Mayawati

Even Muslims are divided to vote MSY’s party to centre. Many of Muslim community members I interacted had favoured BSP not SP. This section was in fidgety by the horrible reporting of Muzffarnagar riots. If number of this rattled section of Muslim community gets increase in coming week then result of coming election would certainly be sad for SP